Surface Specific ModelingOur proprietary model incorporates surface specific ELO ratings, historical serve and return point win percentages over the past 12 months, and fatigue factors. We identify instances where bookmakers systematically underweight surface specific statistical edges, particularly on hard courts versus clay, where performance differentials are substantial yet frequently mispriced.
Tournament Tier FocusATP 250 and 500 events, along with Challenger tournaments, exhibit thinner market depth where pricing inefficiencies persist longer than Grand Slams. Our analytical framework accounts for tournament context and market depth when evaluating value propositions.
Line Value, Not OutcomesWe do not predict match outcomes. Rather, we identify instances where bookmakers have mispriced game handicaps and totals through systematic analysis of our proprietary modeling framework, which incorporates multiple variables we cannot disclose publicly.