La LigaAnytime goalscorer
Elche
Fer Niño
Elche
Espanyol vs Elche
Our fair odds
3.07
Bookmaker odds
3.25
Player chance
32.6%
of scoring
✓Scored x2Recorded · 18 Sept
Bet365 offered higher odds than our estimated fair price.
IL MARGINEBack to homeINDEPENDENT GOALSCORER ANALYSIS
Fair Odds Lab
Explore the lineups. Compare our fair odds with Bet365. Open a player for the detail.
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Recorded winning comparisons
Latest hits
Recorded bookmaker prices above our estimated fair odds. Super Sub wins name the replacement who scored. Winning examples only; not the complete performance record.
La LigaLa LigaAnytime goalscorerEspanyol
Roberto Fernández
Espanyol
Osasuna vs Espanyol
Our fair odds
3.57
Bookmaker odds
3.75
Player chance
28.0%
of scoring
✓Scored x2Recorded · 12 Sept
Bet365 offered higher odds than our estimated fair price.
Premier LeagueAnytime goalscorer
AFC Bournemouth
Justin Kluivert
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford
Our fair odds
3.32
Bookmaker odds
3.60
Player chance
30.1%
of scoring
✓ScoredRecorded · 12 Sept
Bet365 offered higher odds than our estimated fair price.
Premier LeagueAnytime goalscorerAFC Bournemouth
Marcus Tavernier
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford
Our fair odds
3.30
Bookmaker odds
4.33
Player chance
30.3%
of scoring
✓ScoredRecorded · 12 Sept
Bet365 offered higher odds than our estimated fair price.
Spain - LaLigaAnytime goalscorerOsasuna
Ante Budimir
Osasuna
Deportivo Alaves vs CA OsasunaDA
Our fair odds
2.23
Bookmaker odds
2.75
Player chance
44.8%
of scoring
✓Scored x2Recorded · 06 Sept
Bet365 offered higher odds than our estimated fair price.
France - Ligue 1Anytime goalscorer
Brest
Kamory Doumbia
Brest
Le Havre AC vs Stade Brest 29
Our fair odds
3.67
Bookmaker odds
4.75
Player chance
27.2%
of scoring
✓Scored x2Recorded · 05 Sept
Bet365 offered higher odds than our estimated fair price.
A QUICK GUIDERead the prices with confidenceWhat the two prices, colours and player labels meanClick to expandClick to collapse
AN EXAMPLE · NOT A CURRENT PICK
Same player. Two prices.
Compare our estimate with the odds you can get at Bet365.
Our fair odds3.00Our model’s estimate
Bet365 odds3.50The bookmaker’s price
Better priceHere, Bet365 pays more than our estimated fair price. Decimal odds of 3.50 return £3.50 per £1 if the bet wins, including your stake.
Is the price worth a look?
- Better price
- Bet365 offers higher odds than our fair price. Potential value according to the model, not a guaranteed win.
- Below fair
- Bet365 offers lower odds than our fair price.
- Matches fair
- The bookmaker price matches our estimate.
Are the numbers ready?
- Odds need rechecking
- These odds need a fresh check. They may be old or from before a lineup change. Open the player to see the last check.
- No odds
- Our feed has not supplied this player’s Bet365 odds yet. The bookmaker may still offer a market.
- Estimate*
- Limited player history. We show an estimate but leave this player out of value comparisons.
- Not compared
- We need usable fair odds, recent bookmaker odds and a match that has not started to compare prices.
- Unpriced / Data pending
- A fair price is not available yet. Goalkeepers are currently unpriced.
Who is playing?
- Expected starter
- Predicted to start. Fair odds assume a start and may change with the official lineup.
- Confirmed starter
- Named in the official starting XI supplied by our feed.
- PEN
- Expected first-choice penalty taker in this lineup.
- Match started
- Kickoff has passed. The displayed prices are a pre-match snapshot, not live odds.
Our fair odds ≠ bookmaker odds with the margin removed
Our price comes from a player scoring estimate. Removing bookmaker margin needs every outcome in the same market — for example, both “scores” and “does not score”. Different players can all score, so adding their anytime goalscorer prices together does not give a valid market margin.
Explore fair odds & bookmaker margin →Tap any player to see their odds, penalty role and last update. All times are UK time.
BET365 · ANYTIME GOALSCORERPrice comparisons
Bet365 prices above our model estimate. A beta research shortlist, not recommended bets. Filter by league, date or player.
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Price comparisons
Bet365 prices above our model estimate. A beta research shortlist, not recommended bets. Filter by league, date or player.
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Matches & oddsOpen a match to view both teams, lineups and prices0 matchesClick to expandClick to collapse
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Waiting for the next lineups
Scheduled matches and expected XIs appear as our feed supplies them. Official lineups update the player prices and penalty duties.
Current collection window: today + 3 days. Missing lineups do not mean no fixtures are scheduled.
Fair odds are model estimates. Expected lineups and penalty duties may change. A player scoring and a qualifying replacement scoring are different outcomes; promotion coverage is not included in the named-player probability.