Track returns from our settled bets, or size your stakes with the Kelly Criterion.
What a flat-stake approach would have returned across our verified settled bets. No projections, just the record.
This curve is illustrative. It uses the aggregate settled record and flat-stake ROI, not the exact historical order of wins and losses.
Full Kelly maximises long-term growth but creates violent drawdowns. Quarter Kelly gives up some theoretical growth in exchange for much lower variance. We use 0.1x for props and 0.25x for tennis. Read the full guide ->