ATP TourATP TourTennis match preview7 Oct

Navone vs Carreno Busta

Independent tennis betting tips for Navone vs Carreno Busta on 7 October 2026 (ATP tennis). The published card covers Navone - Double Faults 2+; Carreno Busta - Double Faults 2+. Compare the recorded odds and stakes below, read any published analysis, and check each result after settlement.

2 selections are awaiting settlement. A pending result does not mean the original odds are still available.

By Il Margine · Our methodologyPublished Updated 2 tracked selectionsOdds and stakes are recorded at publication

Tracked ledger

Tennis picks for Navone vs Carreno Busta

PendingATP tennis

Navone - Double Faults 2+

Odds1.66
Stake0.75u
Bet365
What do these odds mean?

At decimal odds of 1.66, the break-even win rate is 60.2% among bets that win or lose. This is calculated from the price, not our predicted chance. Voids return the stake; part-win or part-loss markets need a different calculation.

PendingATP tennis

Carreno Busta - Double Faults 2+

Odds2.50
Stake0.75u
Bet365
What do these odds mean?

At decimal odds of 2.50, the break-even win rate is 40.0% among bets that win or lose. This is calculated from the price, not our predicted chance. Voids return the stake; part-win or part-loss markets need a different calculation.

Recorded betting view

What this page records

Il Margine logged 2 selections for Navone vs Carreno Busta. The ledger preserves the original pick, price, stake and bookmaker.

This page updates the same public record after settlement. Posted odds are not replaced with later market prices.

How to judge value in these odds

A value bet needs a credible estimate of its chance of winning that is higher than the price implies. The mathematical check is probability × decimal odds − 1: a positive number indicates estimated value for a win-or-lose bet. A selection is not guaranteed to win, and shorter odds do not necessarily mean better value.

These are the prices recorded when the picks were published, not a live odds feed. A lower price can remove an edge. Where no fair probability is published, the recorded price alone cannot establish the size of an advantage. Judge the approach over the full record, including losses and the number of settled bets.